Some Thoughts About The Bracket
Filed under: ACC, NCAA Tournament, college basketball, sports
Well, all the talking of strength of schedule, Top 25 wins, Top 50 wins, RPI, road victories, home victories and Bubble Watches is over. Now’s the time when the game gets serious. The 2010 NCAA Tournament bracket was revealed yesterday after 6:00 PM and offered a few surprises, as it does every year. I have a few thoughts regarding the bracket which I will share here:
- First off the top, I would love for someone to explain with a straight face how Duke was seeded ahead of Syracuse on the #1 line. There was debate right up until the last minute as to whether Duke would get the #1 seed at all (I’m not so sure they deserved it). Particularly when you consider comparable stats, Syracuse was better. You can’t tell me that because Syracuse was a one and done in the Big East Tournament and Duke cruised to the ACC Tournament title that those games pushed them over the top.
- Surprise, but not really: the exclusion of Virginia Tech. You just knew when they went out against the last-place Miami Hurricanes in the ACC Tournament that they would be once again sitting on pins and needles looking for a bid. And in a year where the bubble was a soft as Charmin, the Hokies were left out. Ironically, the team that might have taken their spot was in the same conference. Georgia Tech was widely considered prior to the conference tournament as a bubble team, while Virginia Tech seemed to have done enough. But with the Yellow Jackets’ run through the tournament, winning three games and playing Duke fairly close in the conference title game, plus their stronger schedule vs. the Hokies’ schedule, probably got Georgia Tech in and kept Virginia Tech out.
- Maryland has an interesting draw. A first round game against a Houston team that won the Conference USA Tournament and features the country’s leading scorer in Aubrey Coleman, and a coach in Tom Penders who’s been around the block a few times makes this a potential nip and tuck game. Should the Terps survive, they may have a date with Tom Izzo and the Michigan State Spartans. I love my Terps, but I’m not so certain they can beat the Spartans. Should they get by their Big Ten competition, Kansas-the overall #1 seed-awaits in the Sweet Sixteen. Yikes.
- Georgetown, fresh off a run in the Big East tournament which left them a basket short from a championship, somehow manages to also be in the same Midwest region as Maryland, but on the lower half of the bracket. If the Hoya team that showed up at Madison Square Garden shows up in this tournament, they will be a very tough out. If the team that got drilled by South Florida at home is in play, they could go out early. With Georgetown, the talent is there; it’s all about effort and consistency.
- The State of Maryland got two teams in the big dance, and while I’ve already spoken about the Terps, let’s hear it for Morgan State. For the second consecutive season, the Bears won the MEAC conference tournament and get in to face a big conference power. This year, the Bears take on West Virginia, coming off a Big East Tournament win. It’s another big mountain to climb, but Todd Bozeman will certainly have his squad ready to go. But whether or not they can beat the Mountaineers, it remains to be seen.
Just like a lot of other folks, I’ll be filling out a bracket (at least one) and will share those picks online, along with my experiences while completing the bracket and watching the games. Enjoy the madness!
The ACC Bubble Watch
Filed under: ACC, NCAA Tournament, college basketball, sports
If you haven’t been living under a rock, you know that the month of March signals the beginning of March Madness. I will definitely be keeping track of things all month long, from the small conference tournaments through the national championship game. But before we get to that final destination, we still have a few days until one of the great holy days on the sports calendar: Selection Sunday. Between now and then, teams will play their way into, or out of, the NCAA tournament. Those teams who inclusion in the tournament seems in doubt are often said to be “on the bubble.” The first of many posts about March Madness will take a look at those teams considered to be on the bubble in the ACC.
Depending on where you look, the ACC as of this writing has three or four safe teams, or locks, and three or four teams on the bubble. For the purposes of this exercise, Duke, Maryland and Clemson will be considered in the tournament. Wake Forest is close to being a lock, and according to several sites is in the safe zone as of today. I will say that Wake isn’t exactly finishing strong, having lost three in a row with two difficult games on tap to close out the regular season-a road game against Florida State and a home game against Clemson. The Florida State game may amount to a play-in game, with both teams needing a win to shore up their body of work. With a couple more wins, Wake may play their way off the bubble.
That leaves three remaining teams to discuss: Florida State, Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech. It appears that the Seminoles (RPI 54) have the best upside of the three, with some great numbers and wins in their favor (wins over Marquette, and a 3-0 record against Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech). However, the non-conference strength of schedule is weak, and they have a 6-7 record against the RPI top 100 which includes a loss to a Florida team also on the bubble. The one bad loss is to NC State. The Seminoles should get in, but a loss to Miami in the regular season finale will cause some doubts.
Virginia Tech (RPI 52) has been a surprise in the conference, but their national profile is suspect . The non-conference strength of schedule is even weaker than Florida State’s, they are on a three-game losing streak and their record is 5-5 against the RPI top 100. They also have losses to Boston College and Miami. Tonight’s game against NC State is a must win, and the finale against Georgia Tech is another potential bubble buster. Virginia Tech needs to win at least two games; if they split their final two regular season contests they will definitely need to win a game in the ACC tournament. No matter what, the Hokies cannot afford to lose to the Wolfpack. Even if they win those two games, there’s a good chance they will be on pins and needles again on Selection Sunday (as it seems they are almost every year).
While Georgia Tech has some great stats in their favor (high strength of schedule, and RPI of 35), they also have some demerits. Even though they have some of the best wins of the three teams on the bubble (Duke, Siena, Wake Forest, Clemson, Charlotte) they are 7-8 against teams in the RPI top 100 and also have two bad losses to Miami and Virginia. They also have a loss to Dayton (also on the bubble) on the resume, and were swept by Florida State. The regular season finale against the Hokies is a key game to watch for both teams, as the winner may go dancing and the loser may be headed to the N.I.T.
Stay tuned over the next ten days to see what happens.
Why Greivis Vasquez May Not Be The ACC Player Of The Year
Hello, Terp Fans! Got your attention have I?
For this post, mindpinball becomes Ethan Hunt (or Jim Phelps, if your memory goes back that far) of the Impossible Missions Force. Today’s task: come up with reasons why Greivis Vasquez will not be the ACC Player of the Year. As it happens, I think he is the frontrunner; with a great performance against Duke on Senior Night, he should just about put the competition away (especially if the Terps get a W). Nevertheless, if Vasquez does not win POY, here are some reasons (plausibility of which may be in question) why:
- The ACC is based in North Carolina, which makes it difficult (yet not impossible) for a player who doesn’t play for one of the North Carolina schools to win POY. Of course it has happened, all of fourteen times in fifty-seven seasons. A Maryland player has won the award five times previously: Albert King (1980), Len Bias (1985, 1986), Joe Smith (1995) and Juan Dixon (2002). Surely the voters wouldn’t take it away from Greivis, would they? If so, it may be because of reason number 2:
- The Duke Factor. Given the fact that the Blue Devils may be the class of the conference, they have to have at least one player of the year candidate. They may in fact have two: Jon Scheyer and Kyle Singler. However, Singler-the preseason pick for player of the year-has not been quite as good as expected. Scheyer has done about as well as expected. Given the love affair some people have with Duke, you’d have to think that if Scheyer outplays Vasquez tonight, coupled with a Duke victory, it could be enough to put him over the top.
- The player from out of nowhere. I don’t know if this will apply or not, given Saturday’s results, but Malcolm Delaney of Virginia Tech was having a stellar season as well. He is the primary reason Virginia Tech should finish in the upper half of the conference standings-not bad for a team picked to finish eighth in the preseason poll. However, with Greivis outplaying him Saturday, Delaney’s stock may have dropped a bit.
- The “I don’t like Greivis” campaign. This may be the weakest argument yet. From the U-S-A chants at NC State, to the folks (and they are out there) who don’t like Vasquez’s flash and swagger, to his playing to the crowd, he may not have as many votes in his corner as he needs. Despite all that, his season cannot be denied (unless one of the other three arguments come into play).
That’s all I got folks. Believe me, I am not trying to jinx his chances. Thank you for reading. This post may (but probably won’t) self-destruct as soon as you finish.
Terps Clamp Down On Defense, Wear Down Clemson
The Maryland Terrapins claimed their fourth win in a row and solidified their hold on second place in the ACC with a come from behind win over the Clemson Tigers by the score of 88-79. The Terps were led by Sean Mosley’s 20 points, but the most important player was Greivis Vasquez. Vasquez struggled with his shot all game, but managed to score 15 points, while piling up 13 assists, and adding 3 steals and 2 rebounds. Jordan Williams, whose development seems to grow game to game added 18 points and Eric Hayes chipped in with 15.
The game itself was a tale of two halves. In the first half, Clemson bombed away from three point land, making (for them) an uncharacteristic 50 percent of their three-point attempts in the first half. The Maryland defense seemed a step slow, with Clemson getting a lot of wide open looks that they were converting. Even when Clemson missed, they were taking advantage on the offensive glass-a problem the Terps also had against Georgia Tech in their last game. At one point, the Tigers ran off 15 unanswered points and eventually built the lead up to 15 points. The Terps were reeling at several points in the half, but managed to cut to the lead to 11 points by halftime.
In the second half, the Terps turned up the defense and Clemson’s open looks started to disappear. And as those open looks disappeared, the Tigers cooled off from their hot shooting start. The Terps gradually reduced the lead, and as the tightened defense began to wear down the Tigers, the Terps took control of the game. A 24-6 run turned a 61-53 deficit to a 77-67 lead with six minutes to play. From there, Vasquez and the Terps made enough plays to keep control and seal the win.
With the win, and the loss by Virginia Tech to Boston College, the Terps tightened their grip on second place in the ACC. However, a showdown with the Hokies in Blacksburg looms on Saturday. And there are some things to be concerned about-the slow start, the troubles on the glass (Clemson had 14 offensive rebounds and outrebounded the Terps 47-34) and their usually reliable free-throw shooting went missing. Despite all of that, it was a good win against a very determined Clemson team. The win give the Terps 10 conference wins, and keeps them undefeated at home in conference play. Games like these will serve to give the Terps confidence heading into March.
Polls, Meaningless Polls
Filed under: ACC, NCAA, NCAA Tournament, college basketball, sports
If you read the Toy Department, the Baltimore Sun’s fine sports blog, you would have seen a post from Kevin Cowherd about the lack of respect the men’s basketball team at the University of Maryland is getting in the latest Associated Press Top 25 poll. Cowherd bemoans the fact that the Terps, despite winning three games in six days last week, still couldn’t crack the Top 25. I got news for Cowherd: the polls in college basketball are meaningless.
That’s right, meaningless.
Now if this were college football, where only the top two teams in something called the BCS standings (a combination of polls and computer models that determine who plays for Division I’s college football championship) would play for the title, then this would be something of an outrage, but not even that much. I don’t think anyone in their right mind thinks that Maryland is one of the two best basketball teams in the nation; if so, it may be time to get that person’s head examined. However, the point being made is that the polls in college basketball serve as a snapshot of a particular moment in time during the regular season. It makes no determination in who plays for a championship, which is a good thing. For as we all know, in college basketball, the champion is determined on the court. Sure it’s nice to be ranked at this time of the year, but so what? Being ranked doesn’t win games; playing smart, tough, efficient basketball is what wins games. Do that enough times, win enough games, and it would be hard for the AP voters not to notice, and guess what? You become a ranked team.
So hearing that Gary Williams has railed for years that the nation doesn’t give Maryland the respect it deserves…well it doesn’t surprise me. This year, though Maryland is a victim of the perception of the ACC conference. Pundits everywhere are claiming that the ACC this year is weaker, and more watered-down than in years past. This perception is based on the thinking that has existed for years: as Duke and the North Carolina go, so goes the ACC. So this year, with Duke the only ranked team in the conference and North Carolina struggling mightily, the conference is perceived as weak. Because of that perception, Maryland (and Virginia Tech as well) fail to be ranked, yet both are among the teams receiving votes.
The way for the Terps to get respect is to keep winning games. The closing stretch of games (Clemson and Duke at home, Virginia Tech and Virginia on the road) does them no favors. But if the Terps do take three out of four of those, they finish the regular season with a 22-8 record, with 12 wins in conference-which should be good enough for the NCAA tournament no matter where the Terps are ranked.
At BSR: Quarterbacks
Filed under: ACC, MLB, NCAA Tournament, NFL, baseball, basketball, blogs, college basketball, football, sports, websites
This week at the Baltimore Sports Report, I try my hand at some analysis of the quarterback position for the Baltimore Ravens. Of course, most of that analysis begins and ends with Joe Flacco, but there are some points I make about Troy Smith and John Beck as well. This is yet another part in a continuing series where the writers at BSR have reviewed all positional groups on the team. You can find my post here. In the past week, the writers have taken a look at the Ravens’ special teams, linebackers and the offensive line. There’s even a post about last week’s State of the Ravens press conference. Now that football season is over, you can have a look back at the season that was through these and other posts.
However, that’s not all you can find at BSR. The site recently got an interview with Amber Theoharis, who just might be the busiest female sportscaster in the market. Also, features are starting to pop up on Baltimore’s other birds, the Orioles. Find out how our writers feel about the offseason moves as spring training approaches. There will be features and opinions thorughout the season, so stay tuned. There will be Terps coverage as well as we get closer to the ACC Tournament and March Madness.
If you are a fan of Baltimore sports, do yourself a favor and check out the Baltimore Sports Report (not because I said so, and not because my work shows up there from time to time-okay do it for both of those reasons). Do it because it’s a great site for getting a fan’s perspective on Baltimore sports (and be sure to comment).
How Things Have Changed
Filed under: ACC, NCAA, college basketball, following the locals, sports
Last year at this time, Gary Williams was feeling the heat from the media and fans alike regarding the state of the Maryland Terrapins basketball team. The team had gone through a terrible stretch where they had lost five of seven games, including a loss to Morgan State at home. The Washington Post had written a series that focused on the Terrapins failure to land recruits from within the state (Part 1/Part 2/Part 3). To top things off, there was a war of words between the assistant athletic director and Williams about how one recruit ended up not going to Maryland. While some fans stuck by the coach, others mused out loud that it was time for Williams to go; that he had done all he could and since he wasn’t getting the top recruits anymore, Maryland basketball would never ascend the heights it had back in 2001-2002, when the Terps made the Final Four in consecutive years, winning the title in 2002.
Fast forward to one year later, and you can find hardly any dissent about the job Williams is doing as coach of the Terrapins. His team currently resides in second place in the conference with a 6-2 record at the halfway point of the conference season. The team is not mired in a funk; in fact in the last game the Terrapins routed North Carolina by 21 points. This week sets up to be a big one for the Terrapins with three games in five days. Saturday they take on the first-place Duke Blue Devils in Durham, then Monday play the make-up game with Virginia at home (which was postponed by the blizzard) and two days later face a trip to Raleigh to play North Carolina State’s Wolfpack. While no game is a gimme in the ACC, given how the Terrapins have played so far each of these games are winnable, though the game at Duke certainly will be tough. With the Blue Devils undefeated at home, it will take a team effort for the Terrapins to get a victory there. If they don’t win that game, there wouldn’t be any shame in losing to the conference’s first-place team on its home floor; but it makes the next two games more important.
All in all, the Terps are looking pretty good for a team picked to finish fifth in the conference. It’s nice to see that the status of Gary Williams is not topic A in any discussion of his basketball team. In fact, I can’t say that I have heard any dissent with Williams, the team’s performance or his recruiting ability. What a difference a year makes. But I wonder if this team somehow falters down the stretch, or the season ends in a fashion that fans find unacceptable, will the barking and sniping return.
Maryland Terrapins: Time To Pay Attention
Filed under: ACC, NCAA, basketball, college basketball, following the locals, sports
With football about to go on hiatus (the games, not the business), the time has come for me to begin paying attention to college and pro hoops. Don’t get me wrong, I’ve been kinda keeping an eye on both of them (the NBA due to the Arenas mess and the fantasy basketball league I’m in), but this post will be about ACC hoops in general and the Maryland Terrapins in particular.
Almost every year without fail, the ACC is generally acknowledged as one of, if not the best, college hoops conference. Football in the ACC is a secondary thought-the joke is that the ACC is a basketball conference that dabbles in football. That perception is primarily borne on the success of the two unquestioned powerhouses in conference-Duke and North Carolina. Year after year, these two programs are the marquee features in the league, with successful season after successful season. Their success is often a given in the league-almost every year one or the other is expected to win the league and claim its automatic berth in the NCAA tournament. This year was expected to be no different. However, this year the conference race is wide open. Duke, while still good, is still beatable with the same flaws that have shown up in recent years. North Carolina is suffering a hangover no one really expected, as their young players haven’t quite gotten up to speed with life in the ACC. Everyone else is up and down depending on the opponent.
As it stands right now, Duke is in front, with a one game lead over a surprising Maryland Terrapins squad that is tied with Duke in the loss column. If the Terps can beat North Carolina today, they will finish the first half of their conference schedule with a 6-2 record, which actually wouldn’t be too shabby. The two conference games the Terps lost could hardly be considered shocking: a 2-point overtime loss to an athletic Wake Forest team and a loss to Clemson, both on the road. The Clemson loss may represent the worst game the Terps have played in conference so far. The second half of their conference schedule features two games with Duke and Virginia, the conference’s other surprise team, as well as dates with Clemson, Virginia Tech, NC State and Georgia Tech. A 5-4 finish would get the Terps to 20 wins with 10 losses, and a 10-6 conference record. Granted, as a fan of the Terps you would want them to do better than that down the stretch, but that finish coupled with one win in the ACC tournament should be enough to get the Terps into the NCAA tournament for a second consecutive season. This time last year, Gary Williams was coming under fire for losing games and clashing with the administration, and yet this year, I’ve heard nothing about coaching, or problems.
So from this point forward, I’ll be giving college hoops greater attention between now and the NCAA championship game.
Good Greivis, Bad Greivis
Filed under: ACC, NCAA, basketball, college basketball, following the locals, sports
At his best, he is his team’s most versatile player. He is able to score, rebound and pass with skill and make the players around him better.
At his worst, he is a ball hog and an erratic shooter. A turnover-prone player who can come up small in the biggest moments.
Terrapins fans know that this is what you get with Greivis Vasquez. At times throughout his career at Maryland he has been capable of greatness (for example, the upset of #1 North Carolina last season). At times, he has been guilty of wretchedness (too many examples to name). When the Terps play on the road, it is Vasquez who is the focus of ire from the stands. Admittedly, he plays to the crowd and he loves to shut up opposing fanbases with good play. Yet when he messes up, he draws the scorn of those same fans, who love nothing more than to see him flop.
Even Terp fans are split on Greivis’s appeal. Some realize that he is willing to step up in the game’s biggest moments and have seen him make plays when it mattered. Others hate his style, say he tries to do too much and often plays out of control. He has also been one of Gary Williams’ biggest backers. When Coach Williams was getting repeatedly peppered with questions about his coaching and whether or not the team would make the NCAA tournament last season, it was Vasquez who was in the coach’s corner and rallied the team to the NCAA tournament, getting as far as the second round in a loss to Memphis.
This season has been the typical Vasquez rollercoaster. Early in the season, he was shooting poorly though he contributed with assists and rebounds. Now that he is scoring a bit better his confidence is high, even if his shooting percentage isn’t. A case in point is the Wake Forest game last Tuesday. Vasquez led the team in scoring with 30 points (on 9-27 shooting from the field) as the Terps fought from behind in the second half to get to overtime. But when Maryland needed a quality shot to try to extend or win the game, there was Vasquez with a crazy shot from the corner that hit the side of the backboard and a contested 3-pointer that was not close. There certainly was time in both instances to find a better shot.
On the other hand, yesterday’s win over Boston College showed how good Vasquez can be if he plays under control. While he scored only 17 points, those points were scored on better than 50% shooting (7 makes out of 13 attempts). He also added 9 assists, 5 rebounds and two steals, with only two turnovers for the game.
This Dr. Jeckyll-Mr. Hyde act is about to come to a close, with this being Vasquez’s senior season. So what are your feelings about Vasquez? Potentially great player if he knows his role and plays under control? Or a player with erratic skills who thinks he is a better player than he really is?
ACC: Looking Like Georgia Tech and Clemson
Filed under: ACC, NCAA Football, college football, football, sports
With the ACC football season coming down to its final weeks, we can say with certainty that the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have emerged as the best team in the conference. With a spot in the ACC championship game clinched by Saturday’s blowout of Duke, the Yellow Jackets have a chance to play for a spot in the BCS, likely in the Orange Bowl. With only one loss in conference to a Miami Hurricanes team that has fallen from its somewhat lofty perch from earlier in the season, there can be little doubt that they have been the ACC’s best team. With only the annual rivalry game left on the schedule against Georgia following a bye week, the Yellow Jackets can get ready for the conference championship game, while waiting to see who their opponent will be.
That opponent looks to be the Clemson Tigers. The Tigers, aside from a victory over Miami in overtime, have been quietly going about their business ever since the loss to Maryland. With a win over fading Virginia on Saturday, Clemson will clinch a spot in the conference championship game to face the Yellow Jackets. Clemson did what they needed to do in a victory over N.C. State. The matchup will be a rematch of an exciting game that took place way back in week 2 on a Thursday night in Atlanta. In a back and forth affair, Tech edged Clemson by 3 with a late field goal being the difference. If the championship game is as exciting as that game was (provided Clemson makes it there), fans will not be disappointed.
Elsewhere, the conference has four other bowl-eligible teams: Boston College, Virginia Tech, Miami and North Carolina. Florida State and Duke have chances to become bowl eligible with one more win. The road appears to be easier for the Seminoles than it does for the Blue Devils. Florida State has a date with Maryland before ending the season in the annual matchup with the #1 Florida Gators. Duke has a trip to Miami followed by a home date with Wake Forest. Neither game appears to be easy; Miami despite its recent inconsistency, has plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, and the Demon Deacons will be plenty motivated to finish their season on a high note.
Twitter: @mindpinball
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